Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +9 (133-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 36 | 5-15 | 3-11 | 10-11 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 10-17 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 30 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 10 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 35 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 29 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 18 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vučević * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Coby White * | 31 | 7-16 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 29 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 28 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Matas Buzelis | 31 | 10-10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Patrick Williams | 30 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 14 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Phillips | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter