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2025-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 52.3% 47.7% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% - βœ—
Margin 49.5% 50.5% +0.1 βœ— (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - βœ—
Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 47.3% 52.7% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 42.6% 57.4% - βœ—

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -7 (105-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 35 7-14 6-12 0-2 5 2 2 1 20 - -
Jayson Tatum * 34 7-23 3-11 5-6 4 7 2 2 22 - -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 34 7-20 1-6 4-4 7 2 2 2 19 - -
Jaylen Brown * 28 7-12 0-0 2-2 9 6 0 0 16 - -
Jrue Holiday * 26 1-6 0-2 4-4 6 1 2 0 6 - -
Payton Pritchard 28 3-7 3-7 0-0 6 3 1 0 9 - -
Al Horford 26 5-12 3-9 0-0 10 2 0 1 13 - -
Luke Kornet 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 - -
Sam Hauser 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 36 12-25 4-14 3-3 10 6 2 0 31 - -
Darius Garland * 34 8-20 3-8 6-8 1 3 2 0 25 - -
Jarrett Allen * 32 6-11 0-0 5-5 18 2 0 1 17 - -
Max Strus * 28 1-4 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 - -
Evan Mobley * 27 3-14 0-4 1-2 5 2 0 0 7 - -
Georges Niang 25 1-3 1-3 3-4 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Sam Merrill 23 3-5 3-5 3-3 2 1 1 0 12 - -
Caris LeVert 16 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 - -
Ty Jerome 15 2-4 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter