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2025-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 47.4% 52.6% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% -
Log Adjusted 45.7% 54.3% -
Points Off/Def 42.7% 57.3% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +2 (121-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 46 9-18 3-8 13-14 3 4 0 0 34 - -
Kevin Durant * 45 10-21 2-9 5-6 5 5 1 2 27 - -
Nick Richards * 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 1 2 - -
Tyus Jones * 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 - -
Ryan Dunn * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Bradley Beal 38 8-17 3-8 6-6 5 3 3 1 25 - -
Grayson Allen 34 4-9 3-8 0-0 3 2 2 1 11 - -
Royce O'Neale 32 5-8 4-7 0-0 4 5 4 0 14 - -
Mason Plumlee 21 3-4 0-0 0-2 12 4 0 0 6 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 45 6-8 5-7 0-0 5 1 1 1 17 - -
Deni Avdija * 43 8-12 3-6 5-5 8 5 1 0 24 - -
Deandre Ayton * 42 9-22 0-1 7-8 20 2 1 1 25 - -
Jerami Grant * 41 5-13 3-9 1-2 5 4 0 0 14 - -
Anfernee Simons * 41 4-16 2-8 3-4 2 10 2 0 13 - -
Scoot Henderson 22 4-9 2-5 5-5 2 6 1 0 15 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 19 2-5 1-4 4-4 1 2 0 0 9 - -
Donovan Clingan 9 2-4 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter