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2025-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% - βœ“
Margin 29.3% 70.7% +4.8 βœ“ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% - βœ“
Efficiency 32.8% 67.2% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.5% 68.5% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 31.5% 68.5% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% - βœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors +5 (104-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 37 9-24 0-6 0-1 6 3 1 0 18 - -
Franz Wagner * 36 9-19 1-5 2-3 3 5 2 0 21 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 32 4-9 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 9 - -
Goga Bitadze * 20 2-8 0-0 2-5 14 1 1 1 6 - -
Anthony Black * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Cole Anthony 28 11-21 3-9 1-1 5 3 2 1 26 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. 27 3-4 0-0 0-0 9 7 0 0 6 - -
Gary Harris 14 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Jonathan Isaac 10 1-7 0-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 - -
Tristan da Silva 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Jett Howard 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 35 7-14 1-5 10-15 2 2 0 0 25 - -
Stephen Curry * 34 7-21 2-12 8-8 1 5 1 0 24 - -
Draymond Green * 28 2-4 0-2 0-2 7 5 1 0 4 - -
Quinten Post * 20 2-5 1-4 2-2 7 3 1 0 7 - -
Buddy Hield * 18 1-4 0-2 2-3 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Moses Moody 23 6-9 3-5 2-4 1 0 0 0 17 - -
Brandin Podziemski 21 3-6 2-4 0-0 5 2 2 0 8 - -
Kevon Looney 20 1-5 0-0 0-0 15 6 1 0 2 - -
Dennis SchrΓΆder 18 3-6 3-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 9 - -
Gary Payton II 15 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Gui Santos 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter