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2025-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 17.5% 82.5% -
Bradley-Terry 17.4% 82.6% -
Margin 7.8% 92.2% +13.6 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% -
Efficiency 15.0% 85.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.5% 83.5% -
Log Adjusted 16.5% 83.5% -
Points Off/Def 22.6% 77.4% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +29 (125-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Livingston * 26 4-10 0-4 2-4 6 0 2 0 10 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. * 22 4-8 1-2 1-2 4 2 2 1 10 - -
AJ Green * 21 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 - -
Ryan Rollins * 18 5-9 2-3 4-4 0 1 2 1 16 - -
Taurean Prince * 15 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 - -
AJ Johnson 29 5-12 2-4 1-2 4 4 1 0 13 - -
Tyler Smith 27 4-15 3-10 1-2 7 3 2 0 12 - -
Delon Wright 21 0-4 0-3 1-2 3 3 2 1 1 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 20 4-11 1-4 1-2 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Pat Connaughton 20 3-6 1-1 1-1 3 1 0 0 8 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 17 2-7 1-2 1-2 6 4 1 0 6 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Wiggins * 25 6-9 1-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 13 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 22 15-19 2-3 2-3 3 6 0 0 34 - -
Kenrich Williams * 21 2-9 0-3 0-0 3 4 2 0 4 - -
Luguentz Dort * 20 4-4 2-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 12 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 18 3-7 0-1 0-0 12 3 1 2 6 - -
Ousmane Dieng 31 9-13 3-5 0-0 8 5 1 0 21 - -
Jaylin Williams 26 5-9 3-5 0-0 7 0 0 3 13 - -
Dillon Jones 25 0-3 0-1 0-0 9 4 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Joe 22 5-9 5-8 3-3 3 2 1 0 18 - -
Alex Ducas 13 1-6 0-3 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 - -
Adam Flagler 12 1-11 0-8 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 - -

* = starter