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2025-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 16.0% 84.0% -
Bradley-Terry 25.4% 74.6% -
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.4% 70.6% -
Log Adjusted 29.4% 70.6% -
Points Off/Def 31.6% 68.4% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -2 (114-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Monk * 41 10-23 2-6 4-4 8 5 1 1 26 - -
Keegan Murray * 39 7-11 2-4 3-4 7 1 1 0 19 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 37 14-25 2-4 3-4 5 7 0 0 33 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 37 5-15 0-3 4-6 11 3 0 1 14 - -
Keon Ellis * 34 5-8 3-3 0-0 3 2 3 2 13 - -
Trey Lyles 23 2-4 1-3 0-0 8 3 2 2 5 - -
Isaac Jones 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Devin Carter 8 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Doug McDermott 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gobert * 40 8-9 0-0 3-3 13 3 1 2 19 - -
Naz Reid * 40 12-19 5-9 1-1 5 3 0 2 30 - -
Anthony Edwards * 37 7-21 3-10 4-4 6 4 2 1 21 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 35 8-17 2-7 4-4 7 2 1 3 22 - -
Mike Conley * 26 2-8 1-3 0-0 3 9 0 0 5 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 22 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Jaylen Clark 18 2-5 1-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 7 - -
Rob Dillingham 14 2-5 0-3 0-0 0 4 0 0 4 - -
Luka Garza 4 1-5 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Joe Ingles 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter