Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✓ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +19 (128-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 31 | 10-20 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 28 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 21 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 20 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| David Duke Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 3 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Harrison Ingram | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 10-21 | 3-9 | 8-9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 31 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 29 | 9-18 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| GG Jackson | 28 | 11-20 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 21 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 21 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Yuki Kawamura | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zyon Pullin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter