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2025-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% -
Bradley-Terry 41.8% 58.2% -
Margin 51.4% 48.6% -0.3 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% -
Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% -
Log Adjusted 54.3% 45.7% -
Points Off/Def 48.5% 51.5% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -13 (119-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 33 12-26 7-13 6-10 5 2 0 1 37 - -
Jaylen Wells * 30 3-6 0-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 6 - -
Luke Kennard * 29 3-8 2-3 0-0 3 8 1 0 8 - -
Desmond Bane * 28 9-15 1-3 3-3 9 3 0 0 22 - -
Zach Edey * 18 6-10 0-1 2-2 11 3 0 1 14 - -
Santi Aldama 25 9-17 3-9 2-2 8 3 1 1 23 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 22 4-8 0-2 1-5 5 10 4 1 9 - -
Brandon Clarke 18 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 - -
GG Jackson 17 2-7 1-5 0-0 8 2 0 1 5 - -
Jake LaRavia 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 2 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 37 14-21 2-3 0-6 11 7 2 1 30 - -
Damian Lillard * 37 4-15 2-8 5-6 3 9 0 0 15 - -
Brook Lopez * 31 6-15 3-7 0-0 2 2 1 2 15 - -
Taurean Prince * 30 4-8 3-7 2-2 7 5 1 0 13 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. * 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -
AJ Green 28 5-8 3-6 1-1 3 1 2 0 14 - -
Khris Middleton 26 7-10 4-5 2-2 2 4 1 1 20 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 16 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 - -
Ryan Rollins 10 1-5 1-3 1-2 0 1 0 1 4 - -
Pat Connaughton 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter