Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✓ (34.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +43 (144-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylor Kelley * | 34 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper * | 30 | 4-15 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum * | 21 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 17 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 27 | 8-19 | 3-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 23 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 21 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 21 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 23 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 23 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 23 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 19 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 26 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 23 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 22 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 22 | 9-14 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jaylon Tyson | 18 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter