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2025-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% -
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% -
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% -
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% -
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +8 (127-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vučević * 36 8-10 4-6 0-0 10 10 1 2 20 - -
Josh Giddey * 35 7-17 3-8 3-4 11 4 3 0 20 - -
Coby White * 33 5-17 3-10 9-9 3 3 0 0 22 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 31 6-9 2-5 0-0 3 5 0 1 14 - -
Lonzo Ball * 27 3-8 3-8 4-4 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Matas Buzelis 25 5-9 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Patrick Williams 19 4-8 1-2 2-3 3 0 1 1 11 - -
Jevon Carter 12 2-6 1-5 0-0 4 0 1 0 5 - -
Julian Phillips 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Dalen Terry 7 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Chris Duarte 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 34 8-15 0-3 0-1 6 2 3 2 16 - -
Cade Cunningham * 33 10-23 2-6 0-1 3 15 1 1 22 - -
Jalen Duren * 29 9-11 0-0 3-4 13 4 1 0 21 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 27 5-10 1-4 1-1 1 0 1 1 12 - -
Ausar Thompson * 21 6-9 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 12 - -
Malik Beasley 27 7-13 5-11 0-1 2 5 3 0 19 - -
Simone Fontecchio 18 3-6 2-4 3-3 4 0 0 1 11 - -
Isaiah Stewart 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 - -
Marcus Sasser 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 - -
Ronald Holland II 14 3-5 0-0 2-2 0 2 4 0 8 - -

* = starter