Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.2% | 20.8% | -7.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -3 (104-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 40 | 6-14 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 38 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 36 | 9-17 | 2-7 | 8-9 | 13 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 8-16 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 23 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 33 | 10-23 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nick Smith Jr. * | 33 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mark Williams * | 31 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Vasilije Micić * | 15 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| KJ Simpson | 27 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Moussa Diabaté | 20 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 20 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Wong | 11 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter