Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | β (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | β |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +5 (132-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 36 | 11-26 | 5-15 | 7-7 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 35 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 29 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 29 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow * | 13 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 29 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 19 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Keaton Wallace | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 34 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 32 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 30 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 23 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 15 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter