Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✓ (23.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +26 (144-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 34 | 13-23 | 0-1 | 9-14 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 29 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. * | 14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 24 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton | 22 | 8-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 13 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ryan Rollins | 10 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Livingston | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Stanley Umude | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 30 | 9-20 | 5-11 | 7-7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 30 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 30 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 7-10 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 27 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 25 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 25 | 10-15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 17 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sidy Cissoko | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 3 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter