Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +15 (117-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 37 | 9-23 | 3-10 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 8-17 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 25 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 22 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kylor Kelley | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 35 | 17-30 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 30 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 28 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 21 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 20 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ronald Holland II | 13 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bobi Klintman | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter