Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | -1.4 | ✗ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +1 (120-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 38 | 8-21 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 38 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 36 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 30 | 9-17 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 29 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 16 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 39 | 11-24 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard * | 33 | 9-15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 30 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 26 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| GG Jackson | 9 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter