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2025-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 52.0% 48.0% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 67.5% 32.5% - βœ—
Margin 76.3% 23.7% -6.4 βœ— (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% - βœ—
Efficiency 73.9% 26.1% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 71.3% 28.7% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 71.3% 28.7% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 61.0% 39.0% - βœ—

Actual: Golden State Warriors +7 (116-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 39 16-29 2-6 18-21 3 4 1 0 52 - -
Luguentz Dort * 35 2-8 0-4 0-0 6 2 1 0 4 - -
Jalen Williams * 34 12-26 2-6 0-2 7 2 2 1 26 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 30 2-10 0-1 0-0 18 6 0 1 4 - -
Cason Wallace * 25 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 2 3 1 2 - -
Isaiah Joe 29 6-11 5-10 0-0 2 1 0 0 17 - -
Jaylin Williams 14 0-4 0-4 2-2 6 2 0 0 2 - -
Aaron Wiggins 14 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Kenrich Williams 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Ousmane Dieng 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Alex Caruso 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 38 10-17 5-8 2-3 4 2 1 1 27 - -
Stephen Curry * 33 6-15 5-10 4-4 1 4 1 0 21 - -
Gary Payton II * 24 5-7 0-0 5-5 9 3 1 0 15 - -
Buddy Hield * 15 2-6 1-4 0-0 5 4 1 0 5 - -
Quinten Post * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dennis SchrΓΆder 25 4-8 1-4 0-2 4 7 1 0 9 - -
Kevon Looney 25 5-7 0-1 8-9 3 2 0 4 18 - -
Gui Santos 19 1-3 0-2 1-1 7 2 0 0 3 - -
Brandin Podziemski 18 4-6 1-3 2-2 4 3 0 0 11 - -
Moses Moody 16 2-8 0-6 1-2 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Kyle Anderson 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 2 2 - -

* = starter