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2025-01-30

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 36.3% 63.7% -
Bradley-Terry 45.3% 54.7% -
Margin 51.8% 48.2% -0.4 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% -
Efficiency 72.2% 27.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.0% 31.0% -
Log Adjusted 69.0% 31.0% -
Points Off/Def 59.4% 40.6% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -12 (116-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 37 9-15 3-6 6-6 8 1 0 0 27 - -
James Harden * 36 7-15 3-5 4-7 3 11 3 1 21 - -
Ivica Zubac * 33 8-16 0-0 5-5 22 3 1 0 21 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 32 3-9 1-2 0-0 7 1 2 0 7 - -
Kawhi Leonard * 28 11-19 2-4 3-3 6 7 0 1 27 - -
Amir Coffey 22 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 18 4-6 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Nicolas Batum 17 4-5 3-4 1-1 5 0 1 0 12 - -
Terance Mann 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Kobe Brown 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Wembanyama * 34 8-16 3-6 4-5 12 4 2 3 23 - -
Stephon Castle * 33 8-15 2-7 2-2 3 0 2 0 20 - -
Devin Vassell * 32 7-17 3-9 2-5 3 3 0 0 19 - -
Harrison Barnes * 29 4-8 3-6 4-4 3 7 2 1 15 - -
Chris Paul * 27 2-8 1-6 2-2 1 7 0 0 7 - -
Jeremy Sochan 26 3-4 0-1 1-3 0 4 2 1 7 - -
Keldon Johnson 25 4-9 1-3 0-1 2 1 1 0 9 - -
Julian Champagnie 14 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 5 - -
Tre Jones 12 3-3 0-0 3-3 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter