Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.1% | 27.9% | -5.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -1 (136-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 39 | 10-21 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 20 | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 37 | 10-20 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 28 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 33 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 32 | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 28 | 7-15 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 20 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 6 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 39 | 13-17 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 26 | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 35 | 9-21 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 33 | 9-17 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 21 | - | |
| Yves Missi * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 28 | 11-18 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 26 | - | |
| Brandon Boston | 20 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - | |
| Javonte Green | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | |
| Daniel Theis | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 15 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
* = starter