Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.1% | 31.9% | -4.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -20 (106-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Strus * | 33 | 3-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 31 | 10-15 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 30 | 14-23 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 29 | 9-18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 28 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Emoni Bates | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 33 | 9-20 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 29 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 25 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 33 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 28 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter