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2025-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.6% 77.4% -
Bradley-Terry 24.2% 75.8% -
Margin 10.9% 89.1% +11.6 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.4% 63.6% -
Efficiency 13.4% 86.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% -
Log Adjusted 17.9% 82.1% -
Points Off/Def 23.7% 76.3% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +22 (122-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 31 5-13 2-5 0-0 4 4 1 0 12 - -
Coby White * 30 6-15 2-7 2-2 2 3 0 0 16 - -
Josh Giddey * 25 4-8 1-4 1-2 4 6 1 0 10 - -
Nikola Vučević * 24 3-9 0-3 0-0 11 2 0 2 6 - -
Lonzo Ball * 23 2-8 2-6 3-3 3 4 1 0 9 - -
Patrick Williams 30 6-11 3-7 1-1 7 4 0 1 16 - -
Jalen Smith 23 3-10 1-5 2-2 11 1 0 3 9 - -
Matas Buzelis 21 4-6 2-4 2-2 4 0 0 1 12 - -
Dalen Terry 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 - -
Julian Phillips 10 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Jevon Carter 3 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 39 7-14 4-10 4-4 1 5 0 1 22 - -
Jaylen Brown * 35 10-18 1-5 7-11 6 6 1 0 28 - -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 33 10-18 8-14 6-6 11 3 3 0 34 - -
Jayson Tatum * 31 5-15 2-6 4-4 8 5 0 0 16 - -
Jrue Holiday * 22 3-9 0-4 0-0 7 3 1 0 6 - -
Payton Pritchard 34 4-6 2-3 0-0 2 7 2 1 10 - -
Jaden Springer 19 1-3 1-2 1-2 5 2 2 1 4 - -
Luke Kornet 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Drew Peterson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Walsh 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Neemias Queta 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter