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2025-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 81.3% 18.7% -
Bradley-Terry 49.7% 50.3% -
Margin 58.9% 41.1% -2.0 (16.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% -
Log Adjusted 43.9% 56.1% -
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +14 (133-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 37 12-22 1-5 7-8 5 9 1 0 32 - -
Tobias Harris * 35 8-19 1-8 2-2 8 2 1 1 19 - -
Jalen Duren * 31 5-8 0-0 4-4 10 3 0 1 14 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 28 1-3 1-2 0-1 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Ausar Thompson * 19 4-6 0-0 2-4 3 1 1 0 10 - -
Malik Beasley 29 6-11 6-10 2-3 2 2 1 0 20 - -
Simone Fontecchio 16 2-5 1-3 1-2 4 2 2 1 6 - -
Marcus Sasser 12 3-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Ronald Holland II 9 2-7 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Paul Reed 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 - -
Isaiah Stewart 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Bobi Klintman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Sheppard * 32 4-6 4-6 0-0 2 4 1 0 12 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 32 10-17 4-9 6-9 7 8 1 0 30 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 32 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 - -
Pascal Siakam * 31 15-21 4-7 3-4 6 4 0 1 37 - -
Myles Turner * 29 5-10 4-6 10-12 7 3 1 0 24 - -
T.J. McConnell 20 7-13 0-1 0-0 6 3 3 0 14 - -
Jarace Walker 20 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 2 3 - -
Obi Toppin 16 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Thomas Bryant 16 3-5 1-2 2-4 2 2 0 1 9 - -
Johnny Furphy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
RayJ Dennis 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
James Johnson 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter