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2025-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 49.8% 50.2% +0.1 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% -
Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% -
Log Adjusted 58.1% 41.9% -
Points Off/Def 51.7% 48.3% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +13 (125-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 38 7-17 2-6 4-4 3 6 1 0 20 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 17-24 0-0 5-10 12 5 0 0 39 - -
Brook Lopez * 34 4-12 3-9 0-0 3 3 1 1 11 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. * 26 3-3 1-1 2-2 7 5 1 0 9 - -
Taurean Prince * 19 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 27 4-11 3-10 0-0 4 3 3 0 11 - -
Khris Middleton 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Ryan Rollins 15 4-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Pat Connaughton 13 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 4 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Chris Livingston 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Stanley Umude 3 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 39 3-6 0-2 2-2 11 4 0 0 8 - -
Anfernee Simons * 38 9-17 4-8 3-3 3 7 0 0 25 - -
Deni Avdija * 37 10-18 3-7 7-9 9 2 2 0 30 - -
Deandre Ayton * 34 9-19 0-1 3-4 14 2 1 1 21 - -
Jerami Grant * 15 2-4 1-1 3-4 0 1 0 0 8 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 30 6-14 3-7 2-2 5 3 2 0 17 - -
Scoot Henderson 26 4-7 1-2 1-2 4 6 1 0 10 - -
Donovan Clingan 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 4 - -
Bryce McGowens 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Rayan Rupert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kris Murray 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Duop Reath 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jabari Walker 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter