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2025-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 21.1% 78.9% -
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% -
Margin 10.0% 90.0% +12.1 (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 28.6% 71.4% -
Efficiency 13.6% 86.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% -
Log Adjusted 13.9% 86.1% -
Points Off/Def 20.6% 79.4% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +22 (130-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bilal Coulibaly * 29 6-15 2-6 2-3 4 5 2 2 16 - -
Jordan Poole * 29 6-15 3-9 0-0 6 6 0 0 15 - -
Kyshawn George * 25 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 21 3-11 0-3 1-1 6 1 1 1 7 - -
Alex Sarr * 11 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Corey Kispert 29 4-10 2-4 5-5 2 0 0 0 15 - -
Bub Carrington 24 2-6 1-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 18 4-7 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 0 9 - -
Justin Champagnie 12 3-6 0-1 0-0 6 4 1 0 6 - -
Richaun Holmes 9 4-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 9 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 8 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Tristan Vukcevic 8 4-8 1-4 1-1 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Johnny Davis 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Anthony Gill 6 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyrie Irving * 27 4-9 2-6 3-4 5 5 0 0 13 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 26 2-3 2-2 2-2 3 9 2 0 8 - -
Daniel Gafford * 24 8-13 0-0 2-2 8 3 0 5 18 - -
P.J. Washington * 24 9-14 1-3 0-1 9 3 2 1 19 - -
Klay Thompson * 23 8-15 7-12 0-0 3 4 0 1 23 - -
Quentin Grimes 24 3-8 3-6 0-0 4 6 0 0 9 - -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 24 7-11 2-4 4-6 5 1 0 0 20 - -
Kessler Edwards 23 2-3 1-2 0-0 7 2 1 0 5 - -
Jaden Hardy 13 5-8 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 12 - -
Markieff Morris 11 1-6 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Brandon Williams 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 6 0 0 0 - -
Kylor Kelley 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter