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2025-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 62.1% 37.9% -
Bradley-Terry 58.8% 41.2% -
Margin 66.7% 33.3% -3.8 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% -
Log Adjusted 62.3% 37.7% -
Points Off/Def 54.7% 45.3% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +8 (129-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Murray * 40 8-20 1-5 1-1 6 6 2 2 18 - -
Nikola Jokić * 39 15-21 1-4 2-2 12 14 1 1 33 - -
Russell Westbrook * 34 6-10 0-1 2-2 3 5 1 0 14 - -
Christian Braun * 32 11-15 2-4 4-4 5 4 2 1 28 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 31 7-15 2-8 2-2 7 0 1 0 18 - -
Peyton Watson 23 2-6 0-1 0-0 5 3 3 1 4 - -
Aaron Gordon 22 3-9 0-2 0-0 2 4 2 0 6 - -
Julian Strawther 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 34 6-13 4-7 1-2 2 2 2 1 17 - -
Nikola Vučević * 34 9-23 2-9 0-0 10 6 1 0 20 - -
Zach LaVine * 34 6-13 5-10 4-4 3 6 2 0 21 - -
Josh Giddey * 26 5-8 2-4 0-0 4 10 3 1 12 - -
Lonzo Ball * 24 6-10 4-7 2-2 4 0 1 1 18 - -
Patrick Williams 28 5-12 1-5 0-0 8 3 1 0 11 - -
Matas Buzelis 19 4-5 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Jalen Smith 13 2-6 1-4 0-0 7 1 0 2 5 - -
Dalen Terry 13 5-6 3-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Julian Phillips 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter