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2025-01-28

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 20.1% 79.9% -
Bradley-Terry 24.6% 75.4% -
Margin 20.5% 79.5% +7.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 28.1% 71.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.5% 67.5% -
Log Adjusted 32.5% 67.5% -
Points Off/Def 33.9% 66.1% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +9 (113-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 38 6-14 2-7 0-0 7 3 2 2 14 - -
Dejounte Murray * 36 5-17 0-4 11-14 7 8 2 1 21 - -
CJ McCollum * 36 9-21 2-7 2-4 7 2 2 0 22 - -
Zion Williamson * 27 13-18 0-0 5-8 7 2 0 3 31 - -
Yves Missi * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 3 0 - -
Javonte Green 26 3-7 1-4 2-4 7 0 1 1 9 - -
Jordan Hawkins 20 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 7 - -
Jose Alvarado 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 1 0 - -
Daniel Theis 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 36 6-21 1-7 8-9 11 8 3 1 21 - -
RJ Barrett * 34 8-19 1-4 0-3 6 6 0 0 17 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 31 10-14 0-0 1-2 14 5 0 3 21 - -
Davion Mitchell * 24 3-8 1-4 0-0 0 4 1 0 7 - -
Gradey Dick * 19 3-8 1-4 3-3 6 0 0 0 10 - -
Bruce Brown 28 4-8 0-0 4-4 9 2 3 0 12 - -
Jamal Shead 23 2-9 1-5 0-0 2 5 0 1 5 - -
Chris Boucher 18 5-10 4-9 0-0 4 0 1 0 14 - -
Ochai Agbaji 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Orlando Robinson 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter