Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (125-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 44 | 7-21 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - | |
| Anthony Black * | 42 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 39 | 10-25 | 2-10 | 7-10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 15 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 36 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 35 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - | |
| Tristan da Silva | 33 | 6-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 17 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 47 | 12-28 | 4-15 | 2-3 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 23 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 45 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 44 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 31 | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 42 | 7-8 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 46 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 22 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - | |
| Kevin Love | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter