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2025-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% - βœ—
Margin 30.9% 69.1% +4.4 βœ— (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% - βœ—
Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 36.0% 64.0% - βœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics -2 (112-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amen Thompson * 41 13-19 1-2 6-8 9 4 1 1 33 - -
Dillon Brooks * 40 13-23 10-15 0-1 3 0 1 0 36 - -
Fred VanVleet * 36 2-9 2-7 1-1 5 7 1 0 7 - -
Alperen Sengun * 34 4-10 0-1 3-4 9 9 2 0 11 - -
Jalen Green * 29 3-13 1-6 5-7 3 6 1 0 12 - -
Tari Eason 24 2-10 2-7 0-0 6 2 1 0 6 - -
Aaron Holiday 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Steven Adams 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 41 5-14 1-7 8-8 6 7 0 0 19 - -
Jaylen Brown * 38 10-23 3-9 5-6 4 4 0 1 28 - -
Luke Kornet * 33 8-9 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 1 18 - -
Jrue Holiday * 31 3-9 2-6 0-0 5 3 1 1 8 - -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 25 6-8 3-4 2-2 8 2 0 1 17 - -
Payton Pritchard 30 5-7 5-6 0-0 4 3 1 0 15 - -
Neemias Queta 18 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Jaden Springer 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Xavier Tillman 5 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Walsh 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Drew Peterson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter