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2025-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 53.6% 46.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% - ✓
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 ✓ (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% - ✓
Efficiency 23.0% 77.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 27.3% 72.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 27.3% 72.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 29.4% 70.6% - ✓

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +19 (110-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 32 9-26 0-4 4-4 3 7 0 0 22 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 31 3-8 2-7 0-0 3 2 1 0 8 - -
Jalen Duren * 28 6-11 0-0 0-2 16 1 1 3 12 - -
Tobias Harris * 27 1-9 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Ausar Thompson * 20 0-6 0-2 0-0 6 2 1 1 0 - -
Malik Beasley 22 6-11 5-8 2-3 4 2 1 0 19 - -
Simone Fontecchio 18 2-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Marcus Sasser 18 4-8 2-5 1-1 0 5 1 0 11 - -
Isaiah Stewart 16 3-3 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Ronald Holland II 15 2-6 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Paul Reed 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 31 8-19 3-11 3-3 5 7 0 0 22 - -
Jarrett Allen * 30 6-10 0-0 3-6 11 4 1 1 15 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 30 6-12 2-6 7-7 2 6 1 0 21 - -
Evan Mobley * 27 4-9 0-2 3-5 14 3 2 2 11 - -
Max Strus * 26 4-9 2-7 0-0 8 2 1 1 10 - -
Ty Jerome 23 7-11 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 15 - -
Sam Merrill 22 3-6 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Georges Niang 19 1-9 1-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Jaylon Tyson 13 1-4 1-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Tristan Thompson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Emoni Bates 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter