Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.3% | 10.7% | -11.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -10 (108-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 12-25 | 2-4 | 9-9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 36 | 7-19 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 24 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 22 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 38 | 9-16 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 34 | 8-11 | 5-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 34 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Donovan Clingan * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson | 30 | 7-17 | 5-11 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 19 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter