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2025-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% - βœ—
Margin 26.2% 73.8% +5.7 βœ— (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - βœ—
Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 34.3% 65.7% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 34.1% 65.9% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% - βœ—

Actual: Golden State Warriors -10 (108-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 39 6-10 1-4 3-3 5 7 1 0 16 - -
Anthony Davis * 36 13-23 0-3 10-12 13 3 3 1 36 - -
LeBron James * 34 12-25 0-1 1-2 5 12 1 0 25 - -
Max Christie * 31 4-5 3-4 0-0 8 1 0 0 11 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 25 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 8 - -
Gabe Vincent 24 3-8 1-6 0-0 0 2 0 1 7 - -
Dalton Knecht 23 5-9 3-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 13 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 3 0 2 - -
Jaxson Hayes 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Christian Koloko 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 35 9-15 1-6 1-1 6 3 1 0 20 - -
Stephen Curry * 32 4-17 2-9 3-4 1 9 2 0 13 - -
Buddy Hield * 21 3-9 2-8 2-3 4 0 0 0 10 - -
Gary Payton II * 14 5-6 2-3 0-0 6 2 1 0 12 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 14 2-6 0-0 0-2 6 1 1 0 4 - -
Brandin Podziemski 24 6-10 3-6 2-2 3 5 2 0 17 - -
Quinten Post 23 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 8 - -
Dennis SchrΓΆder 21 4-6 2-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 10 - -
Moses Moody 21 4-7 1-3 1-2 2 2 0 0 10 - -
Gui Santos 19 1-5 1-4 1-2 4 2 0 0 4 - -
Kevon Looney 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Lindy Waters III 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter