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2025-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% -
Bradley-Terry 39.7% 60.3% -
Margin 37.8% 62.2% +2.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 30.9% 69.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% -
Log Adjusted 35.3% 64.7% -
Points Off/Def 35.4% 64.6% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -4 (131-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amen Thompson * 41 8-13 0-1 7-10 14 10 1 2 23 - -
Fred VanVleet * 38 6-13 6-9 2-2 3 6 0 0 20 - -
Jalen Green * 36 7-16 5-11 7-7 3 4 0 0 26 - -
Dillon Brooks * 32 5-8 1-3 2-2 6 0 2 0 13 - -
Alperen Sengun * 32 9-17 1-2 7-13 8 3 0 0 26 - -
Tari Eason 21 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 4 - -
Steven Adams 14 4-6 0-0 6-9 4 2 1 1 14 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 12 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Cam Whitmore 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 37 11-27 4-11 7-9 4 7 2 1 33 - -
Darius Garland * 36 14-22 4-7 7-7 3 9 0 0 39 - -
Max Strus * 34 6-8 2-4 0-0 9 3 0 0 14 - -
Evan Mobley * 28 3-8 0-2 1-4 8 1 0 2 7 - -
Jarrett Allen * 28 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 8 - -
Georges Niang 28 7-9 6-7 1-2 4 1 1 0 21 - -
Ty Jerome 17 1-8 0-5 4-4 4 3 0 0 6 - -
Sam Merrill 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Tristan Thompson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter