Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.1% | 29.9% | -4.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -9 (97-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 25 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 35 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 22 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 32 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 23 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 30 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 24 | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 29 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Johnson * | 36 | 7-19 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 11 | - | |
| Jalen Wilson * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - | |
| Noah Clowney * | 34 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 26 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - | |
| Nic Claxton * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - | |
| Tyrese Martin | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Tosan Evbuomwan | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
* = starter