Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 78.1% | 21.9% | -7.0 | β (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -15 (107-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White * | 36 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 15 | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 35 | 8-22 | 4-12 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 12 | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 30 | 10-21 | 0-5 | 2-6 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 29 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - | |
| Kristaps PorziΕΔ£is * | 28 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - | |
| Al Horford | 18 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Jordan Walsh | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Jaden Springer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 41 | 11-23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 9 | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 40 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 8-11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 27 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 26 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 26 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 25 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 15 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 11 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Jazian Gortman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter