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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 45.6% 54.4% -
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% -
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 (26.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -
Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% -
Log Adjusted 39.6% 60.4% -
Points Off/Def 39.1% 60.9% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +29 (133-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamal Murray * 34 10-16 3-5 2-2 2 5 0 0 25 - -
Nikola Jokić * 32 9-13 2-4 0-1 3 11 0 0 20 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 30 4-10 3-6 0-0 0 2 0 0 11 - -
Russell Westbrook * 27 6-10 0-3 1-1 6 4 2 0 13 - -
Christian Braun * 26 4-8 1-2 1-1 5 3 0 0 10 - -
Aaron Gordon 24 5-10 2-5 1-2 3 2 2 0 13 - -
Julian Strawther 18 1-7 0-3 0-2 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Peyton Watson 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 3 2 - -
DeAndre Jordan 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 4 - -
Hunter Tyson 5 0-3 0-2 0-2 4 0 1 0 0 - -
PJ Hall 5 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Zeke Nnaji 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Jalen Pickett 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 33 14-23 3-8 3-4 1 9 0 0 34 - -
Julius Randle * 32 9-20 1-6 2-2 7 7 2 1 21 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 31 6-8 1-1 0-0 8 4 1 1 13 - -
Rudy Gobert * 29 6-8 0-0 2-3 14 5 4 0 14 - -
Mike Conley * 22 3-3 3-3 0-0 1 5 3 0 9 - -
Naz Reid 25 5-9 1-2 2-2 2 4 2 2 13 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 21 4-7 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 10 - -
Rob Dillingham 19 4-9 2-2 0-0 5 4 1 0 10 - -
Josh Minott 10 1-3 1-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Jaylen Clark 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Leonard Miller 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Luka Garza 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter