Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✗ (40.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -38 (98-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 34 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 31 | 10-18 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 24 | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 31 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 26 | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 28 | 11-17 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 22 | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 21 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 20 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 15 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 13 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 13 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Johnny Furphy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| RayJ Dennis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 35 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 32 | 7-20 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 32 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 32 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 28 | 9-14 | 3-7 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 19 | - | |
| Tre Jones | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Zach Collins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Sidy Cissoko | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter