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2025-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 72.5% 27.5% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 57.9% 42.1% - βœ—
Margin 76.6% 23.4% -6.5 βœ— (27.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% - βœ—
Efficiency 77.5% 22.5% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 72.1% 27.9% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 72.3% 27.7% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 61.1% 38.9% - βœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +21 (117-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 33 7-19 3-9 0-3 8 3 1 0 17 - -
Jayson Tatum * 29 5-12 2-6 4-7 6 5 1 1 16 - -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 27 9-16 2-5 2-2 7 2 0 1 22 - -
Jrue Holiday * 25 1-6 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 - -
Derrick White * 19 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 1 3 - -
Payton Pritchard 24 2-12 1-5 2-2 2 2 0 1 7 - -
Al Horford 23 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 - -
Sam Hauser 13 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Luke Kornet 11 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Jaden Springer 8 4-5 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Neemias Queta 8 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 3 2 1 6 - -
Jordan Walsh 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Baylor Scheierman 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 33 7-13 4-8 5-6 3 6 0 0 23 - -
LeBron James * 30 9-20 0-2 2-2 14 6 0 0 20 - -
Anthony Davis * 30 9-18 0-1 6-6 8 3 1 3 24 - -
Max Christie * 29 2-6 2-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Rui Hachimura * 27 3-9 2-5 2-2 7 2 1 0 10 - -
Gabe Vincent 25 4-8 4-7 0-0 1 4 0 0 12 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 - -
Jaxson Hayes 14 2-4 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 0 5 - -
Dalton Knecht 13 5-7 3-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 13 - -
Bronny James 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Christian Koloko 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Cam Reddish 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Shake Milton 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 3 0 0 2 - -

* = starter