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2025-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% -
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% -
Margin 21.5% 78.5% +7.1 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% -
Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% -
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% -
Points Off/Def 31.3% 68.7% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +25 (131-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Giddey * 33 6-12 2-4 2-3 11 3 1 1 16 - -
Zach LaVine * 32 6-13 3-6 9-12 3 4 0 0 24 - -
Nikola Vučević * 30 4-9 1-2 0-0 6 4 4 0 9 - -
Patrick Williams * 27 3-11 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Lonzo Ball * 23 3-10 3-9 0-0 3 4 1 0 9 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 22 4-6 2-4 3-4 2 2 0 0 13 - -
Jalen Smith 17 2-5 1-3 4-4 6 1 0 1 9 - -
Julian Phillips 14 1-2 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Matas Buzelis 11 1-6 0-1 1-1 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Dalen Terry 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 10 0-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Jevon Carter 5 3-7 3-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 9 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 30 8-19 5-12 0-0 4 7 0 0 21 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 28 4-11 1-4 8-8 7 1 0 0 17 - -
Buddy Hield * 19 1-7 0-5 1-1 2 2 1 1 3 - -
Gary Payton II * 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 3 0 0 4 - -
Gui Santos 26 7-10 5-6 0-0 7 2 1 0 19 - -
Moses Moody 25 6-10 4-7 0-0 3 4 0 4 16 - -
Brandin Podziemski 21 4-6 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Dennis Schröder 20 4-11 1-4 2-2 2 7 0 0 11 - -
Quinten Post 19 7-12 5-10 1-1 5 3 0 0 20 - -
Kevon Looney 18 2-7 0-0 0-0 11 5 0 0 4 - -
Lindy Waters III 5 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Pat Spencer 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter