Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✗ (20.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -6 (115-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 40 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 39 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 34 | 11-14 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards * | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 27 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 39 | 11-19 | 4-8 | 7-10 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 39 | 12-25 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams * | 26 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 27 | 4-11 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Branden Carlson | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter