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2025-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% - ✗
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 ✗ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% - ✗
Efficiency 38.5% 61.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 39.7% 60.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 39.7% 60.3% - ✗
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% - ✗

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -3 (119-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 38 8-17 1-2 8-10 6 3 1 0 25 - -
RJ Barrett * 35 6-9 3-3 0-2 6 3 2 0 15 - -
Gradey Dick * 31 6-10 1-5 2-2 3 3 2 0 15 - -
Davion Mitchell * 31 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 7 0 0 2 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 28 7-10 0-0 3-3 9 5 2 2 17 - -
Bruce Brown 19 8-12 1-3 1-1 5 4 1 0 18 - -
Chris Boucher 17 7-10 2-4 1-2 2 0 1 0 17 - -
Jamal Shead 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Kelly Olynyk 13 3-4 1-2 4-4 4 5 1 0 11 - -
Ja'Kobe Walter 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 39 7-19 2-8 2-4 1 13 0 0 18 - -
Dyson Daniels * 36 8-14 2-4 4-5 8 5 4 0 22 - -
Onyeka Okongwu * 30 6-8 0-1 7-8 12 4 2 1 19 - -
Vít Krejčí * 24 5-10 3-7 0-0 2 2 2 0 13 - -
Jalen Johnson * 10 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Bogdan Bogdanović 32 8-12 3-5 4-5 3 0 0 1 23 - -
De'Andre Hunter 30 3-11 2-8 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Dominick Barlow 17 4-6 1-1 2-2 2 1 2 0 11 - -
Garrison Mathews 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
David Roddy 6 0-2 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter