Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✗ (31.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -30 (110-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 32 | 13-21 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 30 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 30 | 9-13 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 26 | 9-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 20 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 17 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 17 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sidy Cissoko | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 30 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 28 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 25 | 5-17 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 24 | 11-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 19 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 18 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 15 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 13 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 11 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Johnny Furphy | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| RayJ Dennis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter