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2025-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 68.9% 31.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 59.4% 40.6% - ✗
Margin 69.5% 30.5% -4.5 ✗ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% - ✗
Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 60.5% 39.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 52.6% 47.4% - ✗

Actual: Sacramento Kings +6 (123-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 37 8-20 5-11 4-5 6 3 1 0 25 - -
Stephen Curry * 33 6-11 1-4 1-1 3 12 0 0 14 - -
Buddy Hield * 25 6-12 5-9 0-0 3 1 3 0 17 - -
Gary Payton II * 12 3-6 1-3 1-1 6 1 0 0 8 - -
Kevon Looney * 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Moses Moody 25 4-10 3-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 11 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 23 4-6 0-0 3-6 8 2 1 0 11 - -
Gui Santos 22 6-9 4-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 16 - -
Dennis Schröder 20 3-8 1-3 0-0 3 5 0 0 7 - -
Lindy Waters III 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 1 3 - -
Quinten Post 14 2-5 1-4 0-0 6 1 0 1 5 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 39 12-21 3-6 5-6 5 2 2 2 32 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 38 8-12 2-4 8-8 18 3 0 0 26 - -
Malik Monk * 37 7-15 2-7 4-4 4 9 3 1 20 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 36 2-11 0-3 10-10 5 5 1 0 14 - -
Keegan Murray * 34 6-11 1-5 0-1 3 1 1 2 13 - -
Keon Ellis 21 3-4 1-2 1-1 0 2 2 1 8 - -
Trey Lyles 16 2-2 1-1 2-2 2 1 0 1 7 - -
Alex Len 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Huerter 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Devin Carter 3 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter