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2025-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 70.2% 29.8% - βœ“
Margin 75.0% 25.0% -6.0 βœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 62.9% 37.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 79.7% 20.3% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 76.4% 23.6% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 76.5% 23.5% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 65.7% 34.3% - βœ“

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -4 (107-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 39 10-17 4-10 5-8 5 1 0 0 29 - -
Brook Lopez * 34 8-16 2-6 2-2 12 3 0 4 20 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 33 8-18 3-5 1-2 8 4 2 0 20 - -
Taurean Prince * 29 1-4 0-2 1-2 4 3 2 0 3 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 29 8-13 0-1 1-2 4 4 1 0 17 - -
Ryan Rollins 27 5-15 0-3 4-6 7 10 4 0 14 - -
AJ Green 25 2-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Pete Nance 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antonio Reeves * 37 8-18 5-9 2-2 2 2 2 0 23 - -
Bruce Brown * 32 7-16 0-1 2-3 4 9 0 1 16 - -
Keion Brooks Jr. * 31 5-11 1-3 2-2 10 1 0 1 13 - -
Yves Missi * 29 9-13 0-0 0-2 12 3 1 1 18 - -
Elfrid Payton * 28 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 10 1 0 0 - -
Lester Quinones 24 6-10 4-5 1-1 1 3 0 0 17 - -
Jamal Cain 21 1-8 0-6 2-4 6 0 0 1 4 - -
Karlo Matković 18 5-11 1-5 0-0 5 1 0 2 11 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 5 - -

* = starter