Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +1 (109-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 7-21 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 33 | 10-21 | 3-6 | 3-8 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 24 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 22 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 20 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaylon Tyson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 39 | 8-15 | 7-12 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 36 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 33 | 4-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 20 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 20 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter