Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.7% | 32.3% | -4.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -1 (114-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels * | 39 | 10-18 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 24 | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 36 | 6-19 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - | |
| Julius Randle * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 32 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 24 | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 31 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - | |
| Naz Reid | 26 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Rob Dillingham | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 38 | 12-21 | 4-11 | 8-8 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 28 | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 36 | 12-22 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 17 | - | |
| Quentin Grimes * | 36 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 31 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 15 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter