Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.8% | 35.2% | -3.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -10 (104-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 37 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 33 | 12-19 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 32 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 24 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 22 | 7-14 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 16 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 14 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ronald Holland II | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 37 | 8-21 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 32 | 10-21 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Vít Krejčí * | 22 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 29 | 2-14 | 0-9 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 19 | 0-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter