Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.3% | 84.7% | +9.4 | ✓ (25.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +35 (144-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey * | 33 | 11-21 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Paul George * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Andre Drummond * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 19 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Justin Edwards | 27 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Guerschon Yabusele | 24 | 8-13 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Ricky Council IV | 17 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Adem Bona | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Pete Nance | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeff Dowtin Jr. | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 30 | 10-15 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 25 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 25 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 24 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 26 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon | 22 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| PJ Hall | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter