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2025-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 40.5% 59.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 50.8% 49.2% - ✗
Margin 54.1% 45.9% -0.9 ✗ (16.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% - ✗
Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 58.6% 41.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 58.6% 41.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 51.9% 48.1% - ✗

Actual: Toronto Raptors +16 (109-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristan da Silva * 37 3-10 1-3 2-2 5 4 0 1 9 - -
Anthony Black * 36 6-17 1-3 4-4 7 2 2 0 17 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 36 8-12 2-5 2-2 1 1 2 0 20 - -
Paolo Banchero * 31 10-19 3-7 3-7 12 2 0 1 26 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 30 4-11 0-3 2-2 10 3 0 0 10 - -
Caleb Houstan 27 1-5 1-4 0-0 8 2 0 0 3 - -
Trevelin Queen 22 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 - -
Cory Joseph 12 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Jonathan Isaac 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 33 6-13 2-4 3-4 11 8 2 1 17 - -
RJ Barrett * 28 6-9 2-3 5-7 8 2 1 0 19 - -
Gradey Dick * 27 6-9 2-4 3-6 1 1 0 0 17 - -
Davion Mitchell * 24 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 6 1 0 7 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 19 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 8 - -
Bruce Brown 24 5-11 2-3 3-3 5 5 1 0 15 - -
Kelly Olynyk 22 4-6 2-2 2-4 3 3 1 4 12 - -
Jamal Shead 21 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 6 - -
Ja'Kobe Walter 17 1-2 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Chris Boucher 11 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Orlando Robinson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ulrich Chomche 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 - -
Jamison Battle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Garrett Temple 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
A.J. Lawson 1 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter