Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -9 (107-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 38 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 5-10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 34 | 9-20 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 34 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 33 | 11-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 27 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 17 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kel'el Ware * | 38 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 35 | 8-15 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 21 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 35 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 14 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter