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2025-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 51.0% 49.0% -
Bradley-Terry 54.7% 45.3% -
Margin 61.8% 38.2% -2.6 (37.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% -
Efficiency 67.7% 32.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.2% 38.8% -
Log Adjusted 61.2% 38.8% -
Points Off/Def 52.7% 47.3% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -40 (85-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 28 8-14 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 17 9 -
Jayson Tatum * 28 9-20 3-10 1-1 9 7 2 0 22 20 -
Jrue Holiday * 27 4-5 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 10 10 -
Derrick White * 25 3-5 2-4 0-0 5 5 1 3 8 17 -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 22 6-13 3-7 3-3 7 2 1 0 18 15 -
Payton Pritchard 21 5-10 2-6 2-2 2 9 1 1 14 17 -
Sam Hauser 20 4-7 3-6 0-0 2 1 1 1 11 9 -
Al Horford 20 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 2 3 8 -
Luke Kornet 12 4-4 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 2 8 15 -
Xavier Tillman 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jordan Walsh 8 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 6 5 -
Jaden Springer 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Neemias Queta 6 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Baylor Scheierman 4 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 7 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 27 6-16 4-12 2-2 3 4 2 0 18 11 -
Andrew Wiggins * 23 1-11 0-4 2-2 3 0 1 1 4 -2 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 18 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 4 0 0 5 11 -
Dennis Schröder * 17 3-8 1-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 7 1 -
Gary Payton II * 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 6 -
Moses Moody 31 5-13 3-9 0-0 6 5 1 1 13 13 -
Gui Santos 27 3-8 1-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 7 2 -
Buddy Hield 22 2-5 1-4 1-3 2 2 0 0 6 5 -
Lindy Waters III 18 2-7 2-6 0-0 4 2 1 0 6 6 -
Kevon Looney 15 2-4 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 0 5 9 -
Quinten Post 13 4-8 1-4 0-0 1 3 0 1 9 6 -
Pat Spencer 12 1-6 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter