Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.5 | β (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | β |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +26 (118-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 31 | 9-16 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 31 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 26 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ryan Dunn * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 26 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 22 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 7 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| MontΓ© Morris | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 29 | 11-25 | 4-9 | 7-7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 24 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 20 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 18 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 21 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 19 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaylon Tyson | 15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Emoni Bates | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter